A presentation at Augmented Fortune: How AR Filters Mimic Games of Chance in in United States by anturov
Entrepreneurship is often celebrated as the purest expression of skill, vision, and hard work. Founders are admired for their grit and innovation, with success framed as the result of tireless effort. Yet ask seasoned entrepreneurs, and many will admit that luck plays an equally critical role. Just as a player in a https://flybetafrica.co.za/ might watch the reels of slots align at the perfect moment, startups often succeed because timing, chance encounters, or market shifts line up in their favor.
Research supports this uncomfortable truth. A 2018 study from the Academy of Management Journal found that entrepreneurs who launched companies during favorable economic cycles were 30% more likely to succeed, regardless of personal skill or innovation. Timing—an uncontrollable factor—often separates success stories from failures. Consider Airbnb: founded during the 2008 financial crisis, when people sought extra income and cheaper travel options, its model might have floundered in another era.
Chance encounters frequently shape entrepreneurial journeys. Steve Jobs meeting Steve Wozniak in a California garage, or Bill Gates stumbling upon a BASIC interpreter manual at a young age, are examples where luck influenced history. On Reddit’s r/startups, founders often share stories of “random coffees” or “accidental meetings” that became turning points—an investor found by chance, or a co-founder discovered at a hackathon. These stories highlight how unpredictable connections can outweigh meticulous planning.
Markets themselves introduce randomness. Trends can shift suddenly, creating winners and losers overnight. The explosion of cryptocurrency startups in the 2010s demonstrated this: thousands launched, but only a handful caught the right wave. A Statista survey in 2021 revealed that 46% of startup founders admitted their success depended on being “in the right place at the right time.” The unpredictability mirrors gambling, where probabilities can be calculated but outcomes remain uncertain.
Social media has amplified luck’s role. Virality often determines whether a product catches fire. Dollar Shave Club’s comedic launch video went viral, turning a small startup into a billion-dollar acquisition by Unilever. Countless other companies with equally clever campaigns never broke through. The difference often lies in algorithms and cultural mood—factors entrepreneurs cannot fully control. TikTok’s #StartupTok showcases similar stories, where products sell out after a single viral video. Luck, in the form of algorithmic favor, becomes the difference between obscurity and demand.
Still, luck alone is never enough. Entrepreneurs must position themselves to benefit when fortune arrives. Jeff Bezos famously said, “You make your own luck,” meaning preparation allows chance to be seized. A Harvard Business Review article in 2020 found that successful entrepreneurs balanced skill with adaptability: they could pivot quickly when unexpected opportunities appeared. Luck creates openings, but without readiness, they close as fast as they appear.
Critics argue that glorifying luck diminishes the effort behind entrepreneurship. Founders work long hours, risk personal finances, and face emotional strain. To reduce their achievements to “being lucky” seems dismissive. Yet ignoring luck risks creating myths of meritocracy, where failure is unfairly attributed solely to lack of skill. Recognizing luck’s role creates a more balanced understanding of entrepreneurial ecosystems.
Cultural attitudes toward luck also matter. In the U.S., entrepreneurship is often framed as heroic, with less emphasis on fortune. In East Asian cultures, however, luck is openly acknowledged. Many startups in China consult feng shui masters when designing office layouts, believing that harmony with fortune influences outcomes. This shows how belief in luck is not just psychological but embedded in entrepreneurial practices worldwide.
Entrepreneurs themselves often strike a middle ground. They acknowledge hard work but admit that external factors shaped their path. On podcasts and interviews, founders frequently reference “lucky breaks” alongside persistence. One Reddit entrepreneur summarized: “Skill built the boat, but luck gave me the wind.” This duality captures the reality of startup life.
Ultimately, the connection between fortune and entrepreneurship reflects life’s unpredictability. Startups require vision, skill, and relentless effort, but they also need timing, chance encounters, and market luck. Just as a casino player cannot control the reels but can choose when to play and how much to bet, entrepreneurs cannot control randomness but can prepare for it. Success is rarely pure chance or pure effort—it is the collision of both, where preparation meets fortune.